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2013.12.09-12.13 few years ago, the media would have shouted with his mouth full, that in two weeks, the DAX has 5% "plunged into the depths" of the S & P500 by 2.6%, despite the fact now, this word not fall. (Note that I did not have it either ... as in November 2007) This is due to the historical peak two weeks ago, and the height of the QE (money pump) programs gave faith or unbelief.
Europe has already begun to decline on Tuesday, America's only really took off Wednesday on the lejtmenetbe exchange on Friday, has been brought to miss Tuesday's decline after the European close. In the background can be highlighted macro data is not found, the decline is likely due to: the correction is entirely appropriate to, see. the three-year graph, the distance from the exchange rate 200-day moving average and a long upward trend. The shorter (hourly candles) on technical analysis clearly shows that having blown the feeble attempt to climb this week well below the previous peak, most of the players began to profit taking. The Fed next week (18 December, Wednesday 20 hours) sokesélyes QE announcement makes it unpredictable for small investors in the stock market is flooded in recent months.
After last week's hírlevében formulated a simplified theoretical explanation is now a much more pragmatic woolie approach is shown in relation to the expected Fed QE decision. Some of the market participants think the fundraising mechanism puffy under 10 years old, was trapped: QE trap:
Those who are considered to be the cause of the trap above the expected QE reduction, it is also believed woolie that the stock market will react to the announcement frightened decrease with the timing and wording of swiping a lot of reactions. woolie
The optimistic version and suggests that the QE program works like this, as the U.S. GDP climbed out of the 2008-2009's recession, the unemployment rate declined from 10.5% to 7%. The developed world's economists developed to fix the problem, the gradual abandonment of medicine used to heal completely natural thing will be. Why do we believe in Santa Claus?
The upcoming events are pondering about no less important moments should be considered for a simpler, but the psychological impact. The rally in Mikuás (= large increases in December), many investors believe the little circles instead of the big hit they know that this time will be decided on the amount that will be included in the year-end bonus check. Eddy Elfenbein (Crossing Wall Street) produced a statistic that this dual effect, what the consequences. Visited between 1896 and 2010 to an average of how Santa delivered the Dow Jones index. He found that the average growth of 114 years (7.87% per year), nearly half (41%) of the Santa brought (by 3.23%)! Source: Crossing Wall Street
USA: The Congress was finally able to agree on a budget woolie figures. The cooled tempers more space may rationality of the politicians that will do good for everyone. The deal brought victory to the supporters of deficit reduction, which also means the brake real economy. The retail data remains, if modestly, woolie but are under the direction of growth in the short-term data. The het
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